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2012 Pick Kansas State Wildcats vs WVU Mountaineers

No. 4 Kansas State Wildcats vs. No. 13 West Virginia Mountaineers 2012 Betting Pick & Preview

NCAAF Football Point Spread: West Virginia -3 O/U 71.5

Saturday October 20, 2012 7 PM EST FOX

By: Barrett Kazmerzack of Coopers Pick CALL NOW 1-888-730-2667

Kansas State (6-0) is one of only a few undefeated teams in the nation and to stay that way they will have to beat a West Virginia (5-1) team on the road, who are coming off their first loss of the season. The WVU rushing defense is solid and they will have their work cut out for them facing a Wildcats’ rushing offense that is one of the best in the country.

This game features a couple of Heisman hopefuls in Mountaineers’ QB Gino Smith and Wildcats’ duel-threat QB Collin Klein. Smith fell back to earth last week in WVU’s only loss and he needs to bounce back in this game and get back to putting up a ton of passing yards. He may be able to do just that since the weakness of the Wildcats’ defense is their pass D.

Last Saturday Kansas State beat Iowa State 27-21 and West Virginia fell from the ranks of the unbeaten with an embarrassing 49-14 loss to Texas Tech.

Since WVU already has 1 loss in Big 12 play they can likely kiss their BCS hopes goodbye if they lose this home game.

On the season Kansas State is a solid 4-1-1 ATS and they have an Over/Under record of 3-2 and West Virginia is only 2-4 ATS and they have an Over/Under record of 3-2.

Smith did not have a bad game last week passing for 275 yards with 0 picks, but he only had 1 TD. Stedman Bailey and Tavon Austin are his top 2 targets and both have over 760 yards in the air. Each guy can make the big play and that has to be a worry for a KSU pass defense that only ranks 74th in the nation.

WVU has a decent rushing offense led by Andrew Buie, who has 504 rushing yards with 5 TD and is averaging a solid 4.8 yards per carry. He struggled in the Texas Tech loss and may have a hard time finding rushing lanes facing a Kansas State run defense that shut down Iowa State on the ground and ranks 15th in the nation.

QB Collin Klein leads the Wildcats offense and they rely mostly on the run since they only rank 111th in the nation in passing yards per game. Still, Klein and his decent WR corps will be facing a West Virginia pass defense that only ranks 118th in the nation and have given up a ton of passing yards in their last 2 games.

John Hubert is the Wildcats leading rusher with over 600 rushing yards and Klein the 2nd leading rusher with over 500 rushing yards. Each of these guys is averaging over 5 yards per carry and they will be up against a Mountaineers’ run defense that ranks a respectable 43rd in the nation.

Kansas State vs. West Virginia Key Betting Trends

In Kansas State’s last 8 road games they have an ATS record of 6-1-1 and in their last 27 games overall the posted total has gone Over 19 times.

West Virginia has only covered the spread in 1 of their last 5 home games and in their last 9 home games the posted total has gone Over 7 times.

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