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Private Investor Group

Standard Investment Plays


Dallas Cowboys Arizona Cardinals NFL Pick

Week 16 Stocking Stuffers
By: Cooper call me to talk christmas weekend picks and parlays at:  1-888-730-2667
Ho, ho, ho here are some NFl picks to help put a dent in the post-festivus credit card bill.

Dallas at ARIZONA (+6)

O/U - 45

The Pick: Dallas

The Cowboys (5-9, 6-8 ATS) Achilles this season has been a porous secondary that
allows 257 passing yards per game. There’s little concern that the Cardinals (4-
10, 4-10 ATS) 31st ranked passing offense will control the outcome here, especially
with rookie QB John Skelton making his fourth career start on Saturday. Skelton
has yet to throw a touchdown and hasn’t broken the 200-yard barrier yet. Skelton
has proven himself to be more of a game-manager QB (a dreaded label for all signal
callers), and this is a favorable matchup for a Cowboys offense that has surpassed
the 30-point mark in eight of their past ten games. Conversely, the Cardinals
offensive MVP this season has been kicker Jay Feely. Ouch.

Wouldn’t be surprised to see this number jump to seven before kickoff, so grab it
now if you can.

Detroit at MIAMI (-3.5)

O/U: 41.5

The Pick: Under 41.5

The 2010 Dolphins (7-7, 8-6 ATS, 5-9 O/U) are an NFL enigma: Their NFL best 6-1
road record is overshadowed by an inexplicable 1-6 home record. The Fins offense
is mostly to blame: they’re averaging just 11.3 points and 246 yards per game in
December. WR Brandon Marshall personally apologized to the defense following
last Sunday’s 17-14 home loss to the Buffalo Bills. The defense has remained stout
– surrendering just 267.3 yards and 14.3 points per game since week 10. Factor in
that these teams rarely meet and there are no postseason implications in this game
and there’s plenty of value in taking the under here.

The Lions (4-10, 10-4 ATS, 9-4 O/U) have established themselves as a strong over
team this season but they’re banged up at every skill position (QB Shaun Hill, RB
Jahvid Best, WR Calvin Johnson). Expect the Lions to feed RB Maurice Morris the ball
and engage the Dolphins in the trenches – the perfect formula for an under.

Houston at Denver (+2.5)

O/U: 48.5

The Pick: Houston

The Texans (5-9, 4-9-1 ATS) have burned bettors all year long. Their chance for
redemption arrives in a favorable matchup at Mile High featuring QB Tim Tebow’s
second career start. While the Broncos (3-11, 4-10 ATS) fared better offensively
than many expected during Tebow’s first start last week, Tebow’s 3rd down
production (2-12, 2 sacks) showed that he’s still in his early stages of development
as a pure passer. This favors the Texans who rank dead last in the NFL against he
pass, giving up 275 yards per game. Tebow also struggled with the shotgun, going
just 2-7 before the Broncos scrapped the formation.

Houston still boasts one of the NFL’s most balanced and explosive offenses and
should have no problems moving the ball against a Bronco D that ranks second
to last in the league in yards allowed. The Texans have also had the misfortune
of playing one of the toughest second half schedules – 7 of their last 8 opponents
currently have winning records.

If Denver QB Kyle Orton was healthy and starting this game, it would be a much
tougher play. There’s no question Tebow is a winner, but he’s not ready to keep
pace with the Arian Foster and company in a shootout.
 
Also check out our live NFL lines all season long here at Coopers Pick. 

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